The NFL schedules are set and Week 1 lines are a sign the offseason is halfway over.
With four months until the season kicks off at Los Angeles, there’s plenty of time to evaluate the best futures investments.
Having the full regular-season schedules in hand brings additional clarity for those looking at value in the futures and regular-season win totals markets.
FrontPageBets looks at 10 that stand out.
(Win-total odds courtesy of DraftKings).
Dallas Cowboys (O/U 10.5)
The hype machine has been relatively quiet out of Frisco this spring. That’s typically when the Cowboys show the potential to sneak up and make a splash. Defensive improvements last season and a division with limited identity should help Dallas get to 10 wins in a 17-game regular season. It’s the out-of-division games that point us toward the under (-130). Opening with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, followed by the AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals, and a trip to face the Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams will leave little margin for error.
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Denver Broncos (O/U 10)
Russell Wilson brings new energy and a reputation for finding a way in close games that Denver has coveted since the Peyton Manning days. The Broncos’ defense is better than you think, and depth on offense can make a difference in a very difficult division. We’re riding the over (-120).
Jacksonville Jaguars (O/U 6)
When you owned the league’s worst record in consecutive years, 7-10 is a mountainous improvement, right? Consider the roster upgrades and the expectation for 2021 No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence to flourish under Doug Pederson, and this play doesn’t seem quite as risk. The over (-120) has taken a lot of action since the NFL Draft.
New York Jets (O/U 5.5)
A popular play at a whopping -140, the Jets are getting all kinds of plaudits for their work in the draft and the expectation QB Zach Wilson makes a climb. But the AFC East could be a serious step up in class this season and the crossover portion of the schedule bringing the Baltimore Ravens, Broncos, Bengals and Green Bay Packers points us in the opposite direction of the traffic and under 5.5 wins (+115).
Houston Texans (O/U 4.5)
Davis Mills might be a better quarterback than we think, but what about the talent around him? The rebuild could be a long-lasting one under Lovie Smith and the most popular futures bet in the regular-season wins market is one we’re tailing: Texans under 4.5 wins at -190.
Baltimore Ravens (O/U 9.5)
Lamar Jackson in a contract year. The offensive line holes are filled. Defense restocked. We’re riding the Ravens over 9.5 wins (-140).
Cincinnati Bengals (O/U 10)
All due respect to Joe Burrow, the Bengals caught some breaks and good fortune last season and the stars don’t always align for the Super Bowl runners up. Burrow’s big numbers aren’t the concern. The bounce from the Bengals’ defense after maximum exposure to end last season makes us sweat. We’re under 10 wins on Cincy (-130).
Chicago Bears (O/U 6.5)
Signs point to the Bears planning to spend, then contend, next season. The buildup to that bridge and preservation of Justin Fields lead us to the under (-130).
Kansas City Chiefs (O/U 10)
In Patrick Mahomes we trust, and the new gears in Andy Reid’s offense won’t be the drastic downgrade many project. A rough-and-tumble AFC West means more close games, but who else do you want with the ball in this situation? Over 10 (-115) is our play.
Detroit Lions (O/U 6.5)
There is one team – Green Bay – in the NFC North that appears to be safely in the playoff conversation. The Minnesota Vikings could get there, but Detroit and Chicago are not on that rung and perhaps on a different ladder entirely. We’re going under (-130).